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Naira Breaks 3-Year “April Curse,” Gains Strength Against Dollar in Surprise Turnaround

Nigeria’s currency, the naira, recorded a rare appreciation in April 2026, reversing a three-year pattern of consistent depreciation during the same period and signaling a shift in foreign exchange market dynamics.

Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria shows the naira closed April at approximately ₦1,374/$, improving from about ₦1,387/$ at the end of March.

This marks the first April gain since 2023, breaking what analysts had described as a seasonal “April curse” for the currency.

Stability Replaces Volatility

Unlike March, which saw sharp fluctuations and a temporary slide toward ₦1,425/$, April trading was relatively stable. The naira moved within a narrower band of roughly ₦1,340 to ₦1,389 per dollar, hitting its strongest level around ₦1,341 mid-month.

Supporting data from Nigeria’s FX market shows modest but consistent appreciation, with the currency closing near ₦1,379/$ amid improved interbank activity and stronger liquidity conditions.

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What Drove the Turnaround

The unexpected recovery was largely driven by structural and liquidity improvements in the foreign exchange market:

Tighter monetary policy reducing excess naira in circulation

Increased FX inflows from oil earnings and diaspora remittances

Improved market liquidity and higher interbank turnover

Reduced speculative demand for dollars

Clearer FX market rules restoring investor confidence

Analysts note that these factors helped narrow the gap between official and parallel market rates, easing pressure on the currency and stabilizing expectations. Year-on-Year Recovery Signal Compared to April 2025, when the naira traded around ₦1,602/$, the 2026 performance reflects a significant recovery, pointing to gradual effectiveness of ongoing monetary and FX reforms.

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Market Implications

Short-term confidence in the naira has improved FX market volatility is declining Policy credibility from monetary authorities is strengthening Investor sentiment is stabilizing, though fragility remains Despite the gains, analysts maintain that sustainability depends on continued FX inflows, disciplined policy execution, and external factors such as oil prices and global liquidity conditions.

Outlook

The April rebound signals a potential transition toward a more stable exchange rate regime. However, the appreciation remains modest, indicating the naira is stabilizing rather than entering a full recovery phase.

Source: Legit.ng

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